Archive for the 'Anomaly' Category

Lavoisier Blinking

Thursday, May 13th, 2004

I’ve been wondering whether to watch the decapitation video. I tend to think that I should go look at these sorts of gruesome things because I’m an aspiring writer and I need to be exposed to all the barbarity man is capable of. It’s not like I can go to Dorchester to see someone’s head chopped off (although if I wanted to see people getting run down by the T the prospects would be brighter). Even as a non-writer, I’m not sure we should hide from the truth, especially when it’s gruesome.

When I heard the news the third or fourth time, in particular a bit about the screams of the victim, I remembered the story about Lavoisier blinking. Since this is a gruesome topic, I’ll let you follow this link rather than tell the tale, but if you know it already let me mention that it appears to be apocryphal. There are similar stories from the French Revolution, but not involving Lavoisier himself. For some more recent data on decapitation, see the Straight Dope.

Instant IQ

Sunday, May 9th, 2004

Quote of the day: Talent is like a marksman who hits a target that others cannot reach; genius is like the marksman who hits a target…others cannot even see. — Arthur Schopenhauer

If you don’t trust the results of the on-line IQ test I linked earlier, there’s a quicker way to figure out your IQ: use your standardized test scores. The IQ Comparison Site has tables for conversion between GRE or recent SAT scores and IQ. If you took the SAT after 1974 but before the great grade inflation of April 1995, then you need to use the
old SAT table, and your results will be more accurate.

If you’ve turned out smarter than you expected, check out the list of high IQ societies. There’s a similar list with membership numbers in the Mensa FAQ.

IQ By State

Saturday, May 8th, 2004

IQ link of the day: an IQ Test which Seema assures me is free

Thanks to Steve Sailer for his comments on my recent post, Chad IQ. You can see his evidence that the chart is a hoax and his data on intelligence by state in the sidebar of his main page, iSteve.com. [Update: He’s provided a handy permalink for the whole issue here.]

That being said, I don’t believe that it has quite been proven that the IQ-by-state chart is inaccurate (even if it is a hoax). Certainly there’s no reason to believe the data since no citation is given - the attribution that lured me in has since been retracted and was apparently based on a misreading of the original link. Even if it were legitimate it would be insufficient proof of the idea that smart people vote for Democrats and dumb ones for Republicans (because of the Electoral College and other complicating social factors). If I had to guess what the political distribution of intelligence is, I’d agree with something Gene Expression mentioned - Democrats tend to have an inordinate share of both very smart and very not-smart voters (the outliers), and Republicans a bigger share in the middle of the brain range.

So when I wonder whether the chart is accurate, what I’m really wondering is whether it’s plausible that IQ in the US is distributed in the way the chart implies. It’s not enough to cite 8th grade public school tests when trying to approximate adult intelligence by state. Americans move around the country in certain patterns and their children (if they have them at all) regress to the mean. It’s entirely possible that the hoax values are more accurate than anything short of administering IQ tests to a random sample of adults, simply because they were extrapolated from incomes (though doubt has been cast on the accuracy of the incomes as well).

The people with the real answers are the IRS and the Census Bureau, not the NAEP.

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Chad IQ

Wednesday, May 5th, 2004

Quote of the day: If John Kerry is elected, he will become the first President who can deliver both the State of the Union address and the rebuttal. –Jay Leno

In The Case of the Uncounted Ballots, La Griffe du Lion “evaluates the minimum IQ needed to cast a proper ballot for every voting system used in Florida” and uses it to predict who would have won the election, had the difficulty of punching chads or otherwise casting a ballot been removed.

[Update: according to iSteve, the IQ by state data does not come from the book cited and therefore the whole thing is presumably a hoax - see the comments.] For a national view, check out this chart of average IQ, average income, and 2000 election results by state - thanks to Matthew Yglesias by way of Gene Expression for the link. (Also from Gene Expression comes the intriguing idea that homosexuality is a meme.) Most of that data is also available from American Assembler in a prettier format. The data for IQ by state comes from IQ and the Wealth of Nations [the American Assembler has retracted this claim] so I assume it’s legit, but I’m still amazed that the average IQ by state can vary by almost two standard deviations. [End hoax. The rest is real.]

According to Richard Lynn, the average IQ in the US is 98. Unfortunately, his country list is in alphabetical order. I’d sort them for you, but this blog category is devoted to weird science, not political incorrectness.

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The Disease that Dare Not Speak its Name

Monday, April 26th, 2004

Governor Romney’s legal counsel has advised justices of the peace to quit now or forever hold their peace. We also have a handy 1913 law that will prohibit non-residents from marrying in Massachusetts if their home states forbid homosexual marriage. The Article 8 Alliance is working on removing the offending judges from the Supreme Judicial Court before May 17th.

I’m a Romney fan and also an Orson Scott Card fan, but I never expected to bring the two of them together in one blog entry. I accidentally stumbled over an article by OSC about Homosexual “Marriage” and Civilization. He makes all the standard con points, but being a great writer he does it better than I’ve seen elsewhere. Take, for example, the timeless lines:

Supporters of homosexual “marriage” dismiss warnings like mine as the predictable ranting of people who hate progress. But the Massachusetts Supreme Court [sic] has made its decision without even a cursory attempt to ascertain the social costs. The judges have taken it on faith that it will do no harm.
You can’t add a runway to an airport in America without years of carefully researched environmental impact statements. But you can radically reorder the fundamental social unit of society without political process or serious research.

I wonder if OSC knows that adding runways to Logan Airport was, until homosexual marriage, the hottest topic at the SJC, or if the irony is entirely accidental.

Like OSC, I’m of the let-the-dead-marry-their-dead persuasion:

The proponents of this anti-family revolution are counting on most Americans to do what they have done through every stage of the monstrous social revolution that we are still suffering through — nothing at all.
But that “nothing” is deceptive. In fact, the pro-family forces are already taking their most decisive action. It looks like “nothing” to the anti-family, politically correct elite, because it isn’t using their ranting methodology.
The pro-family response consists of quietly withdrawing allegiance from the society that is attacking the family.

So when I blog about gay marriage, as I have a few times already, my interest is not a literal interest in what happens to the culture - I’ve withdrawn my mental funds from that bank - but the detached sociological interest of an aspiring sci-fi writer and all-around INTP. For me, the most notable point OSC made was when he touched briefly on the myth that homosexuals are “born that way” - he gives more credit to direct environmental influences such as seduction and abuse.

So far it looks like the classic nature/nurture debate, but there’s a third possible explanation: homosexuality could be, quite literally, a disease - an infectious disease caused by a pathogen. That’s part of the thesis put forth in Infectious causation of disease: an evolutionary perspective. It’s a big PDF with only a few paragraphs on homosexuality, so let me summarize:

Homosexuality does not follow the usual pattern of genetic expression (for example, high correlation between identical twins), nor can such a counter-reproductive strategy sustain itself in the gene pool. Whether or not you consider genetic abnormalities a disease, homosexuality isn’t directly genetic. (See the article for more about what can and cannot be attributed to genetic causes.) Like many people, the scientists speculate that normal heterosexual drives are too strong for purely cultural influences to overcome - that is, the gay man is to be believed when he says that he is just that way. (And homosexual sheep have no gay culture to account for their tendencies.) So if he’s just that way, but wasn’t born that way, how did he get that way?

Enter the pathogen. The authors speculate that homosexuality, schizophrenia, multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, various cancers, and other diseases have unknown infectious causes. Like ulcers, these diseases show a certain statistical incidence which will eventually be traced back to pathogens, and cured. Like MS, homosexuality may be the result of an untraceable childhood infection.

Thus say the scientists. In the end, though, it doesn’t matter all that much whether homosexuality is genetic, infectious, environmental, or all of the above, because in principle (which is short for in the future) such factors can be corrected. Given the opportunity to cure the common gay, heterosexual parents will choose to do so.

The only refuge of homosexuality from science is the option no one is buying, not even OSC - that is, that being gay is purely a personal lifestyle choice. Anything that isn’t a choice is susceptible to a future cure. Strangely enough, lesbians are less likely to attribute their orientation to genetic or environmental influences. They may not even have the nameless disease, if there is a disease.

Aspergia

Thursday, March 18th, 2004

Manip of the day: new Kerry campaign poster by Randal Robinson

I’ve been finding more of interest to vote for in the ASC Awards than I was expecting. I have only a handful of TNG stories left to read, and then I’ll be on break until VOY. Today I commented on Ventura33’s Letting Down the Race (the html is a little messed up, but the whole story is there), which reminded me of Greg Egan’s Distress and led me to the Aspergia site.

When you come down to it, Aspergia is about more than treating the abnormal as a legitimate alternative. It’s not a political battle over a minor abberation like sexual preference. It’s a whole aliens-in-our-midst thing - it’s the Neanderthals against the Cro-Magnons. And they’re multiplying like something out of science fiction. They’re smarter than us (they have Einstein and Edison, we have Bush and Bennifer), yet less warlike. What happens when they decide they’ve had enough of our foolishness? To see if you’ll be part of the new ruling class, take the AQ test.

Yes, I’m being facetious. The more likely outcome is that sometime soon we’ll start fixing all these little genetic abnormalities. There will be no more Einsteins, Edisons, or Queer Eyes for Straight Guys.

Dark Matter Mafia

Tuesday, February 10th, 2004

Link of the day: The Aether - A Reasonably Complex Guide To Special Relativity

I’m not sure whether I mentioned before that I don’t believe in dark matter. The Dark Matter Skeptics came out of the woodwork to challenge the Dark Matter Mafia at Slashdot. My favorite comment was about the Dark Matter Zombies, but the most useful one pointed me to the MOND pages.

According to the FAQ, MOND stands for MOdified Newtonian Dynamics. It is a modification of the usual Newtonian force law hypothesized in 1983 by Moti Milgrom of the Weizmann Institute as an alternative to Dark Matter. That is to say, there’s no dark matter out there. What’s actually happening is that gravity behaves differently at very small accelerations. So far it’s mostly ad hoc, but no more so than filling the universe with dark matter no one has ever seen.

Which would you rather have, variable gravity or heavy aether?

Morbidity

Thursday, February 5th, 2004

Warning: When I say gruesome, I mean gruesome.

Morbidity is a lovely double entendre. Today on the morbidity watch I found a report on the avian origin of the Spanish flu, the 1918 epidemic that killed more people, faster than any other disease, including the Black Death. Estimates range from 20-40 million people, 1-2% of the world population at the time.

If you want something even more gruesome, take a look at
this teratoma or parasitic twin. You can find some interesting info on conjoined and parasitic twins at phreeque.tripod.com, if it’s up.

Man on the Moon

Thursday, January 15th, 2004

Birthday of the day: Happy birthday, Seema!

I listened to President Bush’s speech yesterday about a new space program, and I was disappointed. It reminded me of the former President Bush’s space program - maybe not as pricey, but just as misguided. It’s better than no plan at all, but with the shuttles going to pot we were unlikely to end up with no plan at all.

Consider, for example, that the plan is to have men on the moon sometime between 2015 and 2020. May I remind El Presidente that we had men on the moon in 1969? There’s nothing on the moon. It’s not a good place to make rocket fuel or oxygen or anything else. The moon is the Mohave Desert of space - there’s nothing there. There’s no gravity. There’s no atmosphere. There’s no sunlight for 14 days a month. Anyone we send there will be permanently dependent on Earth for supplies. Considering that the last shipment was in 1972, I wouldn’t want to be the one up there waiting for the next batch of groceries.

There’s only one place worth going at our current level of technology - Mars. Mars has an atmosphere. Mars has gravity. Mars is a great place to make rocket fuel and oxygen and anything else you need. According to the BBC, the Russians have a clue; they’re planning to go to Mars within a decade. They probably read the book.

Go Ruskies!

Lost Another One?

Thursday, December 25th, 2003

Mars is the Bermuda Triangle of space. The Beagle may have landed, but its call could not be completed as dialed. As of this evening, Beagle’s second phone call had also failed.

Why is it so stunningly difficult to land on Mars? No one has major problems with Venus (a favorite destination of the Soviets), Jupiter, or Saturn. If you look into it, the history of Mars missions reads like a Ray Bradbury story. The only logical explanation for these weird disappearances of entire spacecraft is that the Martians don’t want us there.

Cue Twilight Zone music…